Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004233 0.004455 0.004684 0.004937 0.005209 0.005494 0.005814
2025-08-17 0.003906 0.004242 0.004603 0.005021 0.005493 0.006012 0.006628
2025-08-24 0.003647 0.004043 0.004480 0.005002 0.005611 0.006305 0.007163
2025-08-31 0.003441 0.003875 0.004366 0.004966 0.005687 0.006532 0.007612
2025-09-07 0.003254 0.003713 0.004241 0.004900 0.005709 0.006683 0.007962
2025-09-14 0.003092 0.003567 0.004123 0.004829 0.005714 0.006803 0.008270
2025-09-21 0.002989 0.003486 0.004075 0.004837 0.005809 0.007033 0.008724
2025-09-28 0.002820 0.003314 0.003908 0.004684 0.005691 0.006978 0.008794
2025-10-05 0.002737 0.003245 0.003862 0.004680 0.005760 0.007167 0.009197
2025-10-12 0.002699 0.003229 0.003880 0.004759 0.005937 0.007504 0.009823
2025-10-19 0.002614 0.003149 0.003815 0.004722 0.005956 0.007626 0.010146
2025-10-26 0.002540 0.003080 0.003759 0.004695 0.005986 0.007760 0.010492
2025-11-02 0.002465 0.003008 0.003698 0.004659 0.006002 0.007878 0.010824
2025-11-09 0.002440 0.003001 0.003720 0.004737 0.006181 0.008237 0.011545
2025-11-16 0.002379 0.002944 0.003675 0.004719 0.006221 0.008393 0.011958
2025-11-23 0.002317 0.002883 0.003622 0.004686 0.006237 0.008513 0.012319
2025-11-30 0.002248 0.002811 0.003550 0.004625 0.006207 0.008559 0.012560
2025-12-07 0.002182 0.002740 0.003478 0.004560 0.006168 0.008588 0.012772
2025-12-14 0.002144 0.002706 0.003457 0.004567 0.006236 0.008786 0.013281
2025-12-21 0.002057 0.002604 0.003337 0.004426 0.006074 0.008612 0.013133
2025-12-28 0.002021 0.002570 0.003311 0.004422 0.006123 0.008775 0.013589
2026-01-04 0.002011 0.002573 0.003337 0.004494 0.006290 0.009140 0.014432
2026-01-11 0.001968 0.002527 0.003292 0.004460 0.006289 0.009225 0.014765